Welcome!

Thank you for participating in the “Our Juneau, Our Future” online workshop! As part of the Comprehensive Plan update, we are establishing a vision for future growth in Juneau that reflects our community’s values.

Community input has shaped a series of unique growth scenarios that let us model what Juneau could look like in the future. Please use this online workshop to explore these scenarios and consider what you think would be the best path forward for Juneau. Your feedback will help us find and shape a preferred scenario that represents a vision for our future.

Start here in Why Plan to understand why we're planning and where we are in the process before jumping into Exploring Growth Scenarios and Choosing a Direction to review the scenarios, share your feedback and choose a direction for Juneau's future. No planning experience needed!

Why do we need to plan for growth?

Juneau's Comprehensive Plan — the Comp Plan, for short — is the City and Borough of Juneau's big-picture guide for how Juneau grows and changes over the next 20 years. Juneau's Comp Plan was created in 1965 and was last updated in 2013.

The Comp Plan covers important topics like housing, transportation, parks, natural resources, hazards, and public services. It becomes the reference point behind future decisions, from zoning changes to capital projects.

We're halfway through this 3 year, multiphase project (), where we are working together to create a streamlined and community-driven Comprehensive Plan that captures our vision, sets clear goals, and outlines actions to build a resilient and vibrant future for Juneau.

Rather than starting from a single prediction of the future, the project uses scenario planning: testing a handful of different ways Juneau could grow and engaging the community about a preferred direction for the future.

Over the 20 years, Juneau will change. Scenario planning lets us explore different ways to shape that change to help us be the Juneau we want to be. The first step is to understand what changes we need to plan for, and housing quickly emerges as a major factor. These are some of the significant trends impacting Juneau's future.

Juneau isn't growing — but it still doesn't have enough housing
Much of what exists is aging and one-size-fits-all. Rental vacancy sits near 4%, homes cost more here than anywhere else in Alaska, and there's a shortage of smaller, more affordable, move-in-ready options that fit different budgets and stages of life.
Rental vacancy rate
Juneau~4%
Healthy5%+
Average home listing price
2020$393,029
2025$594,606
Young people are leaving, and housing is a big reason why
For the first time ever, Juneau now has more residents over 60 than under 20. Housing costs, along with a lack of childcare, are among the top reasons families move away.
What's driving the projected decline
Deaths+37%
Births−22%
Out-migration+31%
The population is shifting significantly towards residents aged 60+
Overall, over the past decade in Southeast Alaska the percentages of younger and working-age populations have declined while the 60+ group has increased from 21% of the overall population to 27%.
SE Alaska population age, 2015–2024
23%21%
0–18
56%51%
19–59
21%27%
60+
20152024

Businesses can't find workers because those workers can't find a place to live
That includes the people who keep vital services running. Employers across the city say housing, not pay, is the number one barrier to hiring.

The housing gap needs to be cared for, whether Juneau grows or not
The growth scenarios you will review are different ways to focus new housing investment so Juneau can hold onto its workforce, families, and vital services — whether the population grows, holds steady, or keeps shrinking.

What have we done so far?

Phase 1: Listening and Learning, wrapped up in Summer 2025 and focused on gathering community input through listening sessions, surveys, focus groups, and Advisory Committee meetings.

Since Fall 2025, Phase 2: Imagining Possibilities has built on that input through a series of "Juneau Futures" workshops that directly inform the scenarios presented in this online workshop.

Alongside this engagement, the project team has also been talking to local experts and analyzing Juneau's existing conditions and trends, from housing and demographics to the economy and climate, to ground the plan in local data. That research, paired with technical scenario modeling, translated community input into the concrete land-use and growth scenarios you'll see in this online workshop.

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4
Community Listening Sessions, Phase 1 (April 2025)
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490
Phase 1 survey responses (264 Online Open House + 226 Guiding Principles)
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6
Focus groups — Alaska Native, Filipino Community & youth, Phase 1
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2
Advisory Committee meetings, Phase 1
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14
"Juneau Futures" workshops, Phase 2 (fall 2025–Jan. 2026)
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335
In-person participants across Phase 2 workshops
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300
Digital workshop survey responses, Phase 2

What Could Juneau Look Like in the Future?

Scenario planning lets us explore different futures for Juneau’s growth

The scenario planning process lets us imagine a few different paths for what Juneau could look like in the future. Each scenario makes different choices about what gets built, where it gets built, and how that shapes everyday life here. We can then compare the scenarios side by side — looking at things like housing types, growth patterns, the local economy, how people get around, and the cost of infrastructure like roads and utilities — to help us figure out the future we want to work toward.

Juneau will keep changing between now and 2045 — this process helps us plan for it.
These scenarios started with a clear picture of current development trends and the areas planned for future growth, then added in what Juneau residents told us they want. That input came from a series of community workshops and an online survey, where people shared where they’d want to see investment and what ideas would help build the Juneau they’re hoping for. The themes that came out of that input are reflected in the scenarios you’ll see here.

Let’s take a look at Juneau’s growth scenarios

Business as Usual

Baseline

Juneau in 2045 — if current housing production and growth trends remain the same.

If Juneau keeps building at the rate it does today, its housing need won’t be met. Business as Usual continues current housing production and land-use patterns forward to 2045, showing what we might expect Juneau to look like in the future.

Multiple Centers

Scenario A

Juneau in 2045 — if growth is focused on densifying neighborhood centers in Downtown Juneau, Lemon Creek, Auke Bay, and Downtown Douglas.

Multiple Centers accommodates growth by densifying within existing and emerging neighborhood centers. This scenario prioritizes mixed use development with smaller and more affordable units close to local businesses and commercial hubs. This scenario focuses development in areas where infrastructure and investment have already been made.

Next Wave Douglas

Scenario B

Juneau in 2045 — if growth is focused on expanding on Douglas Island.

Next Wave Douglas builds on current development trends and supports prior planning efforts that identified Douglas Island as a future growth area. This scenario prioritizes long-term infrastructure investments to unlock development on Douglas Island where growth can be safely located outside of the environmentally hazardous areas that impact much of the rest of Juneau.

Resilient Valley

Scenario C

Juneau in 2045 — if growth is focused on supporting Mendenhall Valley, but located outside of the inundation areas.

The Mendenhall Valley is home to many residents facing challenges due to glacial lake outburst flooding (GLOF). This scenario focuses investment around the Valley to support existing residents. Growth is predominantly located in the Valley but outside the inundation areas to maximize the impact of investment.

How Do The Scenarios Align With Your Values?

Prior to considering different growth scenarios, Juneau residents established a core set of guiding principles. Each scenario took a different approach to meeting these values. Think about your values as you answer the questions below to determine which scenario most closely aligns with your values.

Let’s See How The Scenarios Compare

See how the scenarios compare across each metric, one category at a time. In doing so, think about which scenario you feel performs the best. Are there places that you feel a particular scenario excels or falls short? We want to hear what you think below.

Choose scenarios to compare:

Tip: on a small screen, swipe the comparison sideways to see all of the scenarios.

What Do You Think is The Best Scenario for Juneau?

Let us know what you think. We want to hear more about which scenario you think would be the best fit for Juneau and why.

Your feedback will be used to shape a preferred scenario that synthesizes the best pieces of these scenarios that can serve as a guiding vision for the Comprehensive Plan update.